DTC to Retail Strategy: The Poppi and Olipop Playbook | Cool Nerds Marketing
● Growth Strategy  ·  CPG Playbook

Poppi, Olipop, and Liquid Death didn't win shelves with a great pitch deck. They won with proof. Here is the DTC to retail strategy behind the fastest shelf expansions in beverage — and how to run it for your brand.

The DTC to retail strategy is how modern CPG brands buy credibility with category buyers. Build demand online, capture the sales data, then walk into the retailer meeting with evidence instead of promises. Recently, a $500M food company handed us an RFP. It named Poppi, Olipop, Liquid Death, and Liquid IV as the exact model it wants copied for its new brands. So this is the playbook those brands actually ran — with the real numbers, the parts everyone gets wrong, and what retail buyers count as proof.

What is a DTC to retail strategy?

Quick definition: a DTC to retail strategy uses ecommerce — your own site, Amazon, TikTok Shop — as an evidence engine rather than a profit center. The online channel's job is to prove demand: velocity, repeat purchase, reviews, search volume, and the social buzz behind them. That proof then wins retail distribution, where the real money in food and beverage still gets made. Online is the audition. Retail is the career.

The key phrase is evidence engine, not profit center. However the case studies get told, none of these brands got rich on shipping cans to doorsteps. In fact, most of them actively avoided it. What they built online was something more valuable than margin: a dataset no buyer could argue with. Because retail runs on evidence. Circana, the data company retailers themselves rely on, puts it plainly: if a new item's velocity is below the category average, expanded distribution isn't coming.

90%
of Olipop's business is retail today, with DTC plus Amazon around 15% — for a brand that was roughly half ecommerce in 2020. The online channel proved the demand; the shelves collected it. (Olipop's growth team, via Darkroom)
The DTC to retail strategy ends here: a packed grocery cooler shelf where CPG brands compete for placement
The destination: every dollar of online proof exists to win — and defend — a spot on this shelf.

How the three playbooks actually ran

1. Poppi: no DTC at all — Amazon rank as the proof

Here's the detail most retellings miss: Poppi never built a DTC business. Founder Allison Ellsworth watched other beverage brands lose money shipping heavy liquid and skipped it entirely. Instead, Poppi made Amazon its evidence engine and TikTok its demand engine. By 2022, two years after launching on Amazon, Poppi held 44% of the functional beverage category there. At that point, its Amazon storefront was the majority of company revenue. By early 2023 it was the #1 soda on Amazon, with sales up 2.4x year over year. Meanwhile, founder-led TikTok content racked up billions of views and told every buyer in America the demand was real. The result: roughly $13M in revenue in 2020 became $500M+ in 2024, and PepsiCo bought the brand for $1.95B in 2025. Amazon rank plus TikTok heat was the whole proof package.

2. Olipop: DTC as the lab, then a deliberate shrink

Olipop ran the sequence differently. It started on actual shelves: 40 Northern California grocery stores and $852K in first-year revenue. Then the pandemic made its DTC site the growth engine, reaching close to half of revenue in 2020. But look at what Olipop used DTC for. Subscriptions proved repeat purchase, SMS and email programs built retention cohorts, and flavor drops tested demand before retail ever saw them. That repeat-purchase data is exactly what buyers can't get anywhere else. As Walmart, Target, Kroger, and Costco opened up, Olipop let ecommerce shrink to ~15% of the business on purpose. Today the brand sits at roughly $400–500M in 2024 revenue, a $1.85B valuation, distribution in ~50,000 stores, and a stated $1B goal. The DTC channel didn't scale the company. It de-risked every retail decision that did.

3. Liquid Death: website scarcity, then scan-data momentum

Liquid Death spent its first year website-only, selling canned water to an internet audience that found the joke irresistible. That online cult was the proof that got it into Whole Foods in early 2020. There it reportedly became the fastest-selling water on the shelf — a scan-data story that then opened 7-Eleven, Publix, and beyond. Amazon came later and kept compounding the evidence: #1 best seller in its water categories, with tens of thousands of branded searches a week. Retail scan sales hit $333M in 2024 against a $1.4B valuation, and the brand is now expanding into energy drinks. Notably, its own website today mostly sells merch — the water business lives at retail, where it always intended to end up.

What retail buyers actually count as proof

We wrote before about what retail buyers are actually buying — risk reduction, not romance. The DTC to retail strategy works because it converts your marketing into their favorite kind of risk reduction: numbers. Here's what counts:

Velocity against the category average

The number one filter. Circana is blunt about it: new items running below category-average velocity don't earn expansion. Your online store and pilot doors exist to generate shelf velocity evidence a buyer can benchmark.

Repeat rate and subscription cohorts

Buyers can see trial anywhere. What they can't see is whether people come back. Subscription retention and reorder curves from DTC or Amazon Subscribe and Save show demand quality, not just quantity. That was Olipop's edge in every early conversation.

Amazon rank, reviews, and branded search

A category best-seller badge, a four-figure review count, and rising branded search volume are public, verifiable, and instantly understood. Poppi's 44% Amazon category share said more than any deck slide could.

Social commerce heat — with the halo

TikTok Shop did $15.1B in US sales in 2025, up 68%. Moreover, sellers report every TikTok Shop surge drags a 1.5–3x halo onto Amazon. Buyers increasingly see social velocity as early category signal — Sprouts runs a scouting program for exactly these brands.

The DTC to retail strategy, step by step

Here's how we'd run the DTC to retail strategy for a food or beverage brand today. The sequence matters more than the budget.

1. Pick your evidence channel deliberately

For most food and beverage brands, Amazon is the evidence engine. Shipping economics favor multipacks, and the rank, review, and search data are public currency. A heavy, low-margin product may skip owned DTC entirely, exactly as Poppi did. Use your own site only where it earns its keep: subscriptions, bundles, and the retention data buyers can't get elsewhere.

2. Build the demand engine that feeds it

Evidence channels don't fill themselves. So demand generation — creator content, founder-led social, short-form video — is what turns a storefront into a dataset. This is the engine we detailed in our TikTok organic strategy for CPG and food brands. In fact, it's the half of the playbook most brands underfund while overspending on the storefront itself.

3. Instrument everything

Poppi's team used category-level Amazon data to steer both keywords and TikTok spend. Do the same. Track velocity by SKU, repeat rate by cohort, review velocity, branded search volume, and which content spikes map to which sales spikes. If you can't chart it, you can't pitch it.

4. Package the proof like a buyer reads it

One page. Velocity versus category average, repeat rate, review count and rating, branded search trend, and the social numbers behind them — updated monthly. The pitch isn't "our brand is beloved." The pitch is "this item will turn faster than what's on your shelf today, and here's the evidence."

5. Convert proof into doors — then defend them

Enter retail where the evidence gets a fair test. Think regional chains and scout programs like Sprouts' foraging team. Add Costco roadshows, where you sample all day and leave with conversion data, or pilot doors at a mainstream chain. Then concentrate demand around those doors — geo-targeted paid and creator activity — so launch velocity clears the bar. Finally, as distribution scales, let ecommerce shrink as a share of revenue without panic. That's the plan working, not failing. For how the channels relate at scale, see our take on DTC vs retail marketing strategy.

Building the case for your next 5,000 doors?

Cool Nerds Marketing builds the demand engine and the evidence package — social, creators, Amazon, and the velocity data that wins buyer meetings — for CPG and food and beverage brands.

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DTC to retail strategy: FAQs

The playbook

What is a DTC to retail strategy?
A DTC to retail strategy uses ecommerce channels — a brand's own site, Amazon, TikTok Shop — to generate proof of consumer demand. That proof (velocity, repeat purchase, reviews, branded search) then wins and expands retail distribution. The online channel works as an evidence engine; retail is where the business scales. Poppi, Olipop, and Liquid Death are the best-known examples.
What do retail buyers look for from online-first brands?
Velocity against the category average first — Circana notes items below category-average velocity rarely earn expansion. After that: repeat purchase rate, Amazon rank and review volume, branded search trends, and social commerce traction. Buyers read these as risk reduction: evidence the item will turn on their shelf without their marketing help.
Is DTC dead for food and beverage brands?
As a scaling channel, mostly yes. Shipping heavy, low-margin products to doorsteps rarely works — which is why Poppi skipped DTC entirely and Olipop let it shrink to about 15% of its business. As an evidence and retention lab, DTC is very much alive: subscriptions, bundles, flavor tests, and the cohort data that strengthens every retail pitch.

The case studies

How did Poppi grow so fast?
Poppi paired founder-led TikTok content (billions of views) with an Amazon-first commerce strategy — no DTC site at all. By 2022 it held 44% of Amazon's functional beverage category, and by early 2023 it was the #1 soda on Amazon. That public proof powered retail expansion from roughly $13M in 2020 revenue to over $500M in 2024. In 2025, PepsiCo acquired the brand for $1.95B.
How did Olipop grow so fast?
Olipop used its DTC site — nearly half of revenue in 2020 — as a learning engine: subscriptions proved repeat purchase, SMS and email built retention, and flavor drops tested demand. It then converted that proof into mainstream retail across Walmart, Target, Kroger, Costco, and ~50,000 stores. Today that means roughly $400–500M in 2024 revenue, a $1.85B valuation, and retail at about 90% of the business.
How long does it take to go from online to retail shelves?
Faster than it used to. Liquid Death went from website-only to Whole Foods in about a year; Poppi went from Amazon launch to 120+ retailers in roughly three. The timeline depends less on the calendar and more on the proof. Once velocity, repeat rate, and social demand clear a buyer's bar, scout programs and regional chains can move within one or two reset cycles.